Ammunition Market Innovations in Technology and Product Development
The global ammunition market, valued at USD 68.57 billion in 2023, is projected to decline to USD 36.75 billion by 2030, reflecting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -11.3% from 2024 to 2030.
Increased procurement of defense equipment by global militaries—driven by a rise in terrorist activities and hostilities—is expected to positively impact the industry over the forecast period.
Simultaneously, the rising popularity of sports and shooting activities involving rifles and pistols is anticipated to boost the penetration of small-caliber ammunition. Technological advancements, such as the introduction of lightweight bullets made from polymer-based cases, also support overall industry development.
In the U.S., high government investments in the enhancement of military and armed forces are expected to support market growth. Furthermore, the procurement of small caliber ammunition by civilians and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), along with the enhancement of sales channels (like online sales), is likely to bolster the overall industry in the country.
Key Market Trends & Insights
- The ammunition market in Europe held a dominant revenue share of 71.33% in 2023. In Europe, the government provides directives for firearm possession, the supply of firearms in a single market, and a protocol against manufacturing and trafficking of firearms. In addition, the European defense system has faced challenges in dealing with refugees from the Middle East and Syria. Europe has also faced the threat of terrorism.
- By caliber, the small caliber ammunition segment held about 28.12% share of the global revenue in 2023. This trend is attributed to a wide array of small caliber ammunition applications including shotgun pistols, assault rifles, rifles, and revolvers. In addition, increasing demand from security forces to tackle rising instances of armed conflicts is further expected to fuel the growth of small caliber ammunition demand over the period.
- By small ammunition product, the centerfire small ammunition products segment led the market in 2023 with a revenue share of 71.12%. Centerfire ammunition is usually used for rifles, shotguns, and handguns. In centerfire ammunition, primer is placed in the center of the casing base. This type of ammunition is reloadable and, hence, is the most commonly used cartridge type.
- By cartridge, the .45 cartridge segment held the highest revenue share in 2023. The popularity of .45 ACP handguns among law enforcement agencies, military forces, and civilian gun enthusiasts is driving the market. The rise in civilian gun ownership and the increasing trend of concealed carry are fueling the demand for .45 ACP cartridges.
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Market Size & Forecast
- 2023 Market Size: USD 68.57 Billion
- 2030 Projected Market Size: USD 36.75 Billion
- CAGR (2024-2030): -11.3%
- Europe: Largest market in 2023
Key Companies & Market Share Insights
Some of the key players operating in the market include Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics Corporation. Emerging market participants include Jageman Stamping Co. and Hornady Manufacturing Company, Inc.
- Northrop Grumman is a multinational aerospace and defense technology company specializing in products for the aeronautics, space, cyberspace, and defense industries, with approximately 100,000 employees and 550 facilities globally.
- General Dynamics Corporation is headquartered in Virginia, U.S., and operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies, offering services like MRO and aircraft management across various regions.
- Jageman Stamping Co. is a U.S.-based producer of progressive, deep-drawn, and fine blanked stampings for multiple industries, including automotive and defense.
- Hornady Manufacturing Company, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer of bullets, ammunition, and muzzleloading equipment, serving both domestic and international markets.
Key Players
- Northrop Grumman Corporation
- FN Herstal
- Olin Corporation
- General Dynamics Corporation
- BAE Systems, Inc.
- Rheinmetall Defense
- Nexter KNDS Group
- Hanwha Corporation
- ST Engineering
- Remington Arms Company LLC
- Vista Outdoor Operations LLC
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Conclusion
Despite drivers like increasing global hostilities, rising civilian interest in shooting sports, and technological advancements such as lightweight, polymer-cased ammunition, the global ammunition market is forecasted to experience a significant contraction. The market size is projected to almost halve, from USD 68.57 billion in 2023 to USD 36.75 billion by 2030, resulting in a negative CAGR of -11.3%. Europe remains the dominant regional market. The market’s decline suggests that, despite localized and segment-specific growth factors (like the small caliber and .45 cartridge segments), overarching geopolitical stability, regulatory factors, or a shift in major defense procurement strategies may be exerting a powerful downward pressure on the total market value during the forecast period.
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